Monday, May 16, 2016

Balance of Payments

The Balance of Payments

  • Measures of money inflows and outflows between the united states and the rest of the world (ROW).
    • Inflows = credits
    • Outflows = debits
  • The balance of payment is divided into three accounts:
    • Current account
    • Capital/financial account
    • Official reserves account

Current account

  •  Balance of trade or Net exports
    • Exports of goods/services- import of goods/services.
      • Exports create a credit to the balance of payments.
      • Imports create a debit to the balance of payments.
  •  Net foreign income
    • Income earned by the U.S. owned foreign assets
    • Interest payments on U.S. owned foreign assets- Interest payments on German-owned U.S treasury bonds.
  •  Net transfers (tend to be Unilateral)
    •  Foreign aid- a debit to the current account.
    •  Ex - Mexican migrant worker sends money to family.

Capital / Financial Account

  • The balance of capital ownership.
    • Includes the purchase of both real and financial assets
  • Direct investment in the United States is a credit to the capital account.
    • For example the Toyota company in San Antonio.
  • Direct investment by United States firms/individuals in a foreign country are a debit to the capital account.
    • Intel factory construction in Germany
  • Purchase of foreign financial assets represents a Debit to the capital account. 
    • Warren buffets buys stock in Petrochina.
  • Purchase of domestic financial assets by foreigners represents a credit to the capital account.
    • The UAE sovereign wealth fund purchases a large stake in the NASDAQ.

 Relationship between current and capital account

  • Current account and capital account zero each other out.
    • If current account has a negative balance (deficit) then capital account should have a positive balance (surplus).

 Official reserves

  • Foreign currency holdings of the U.S. fed.
    • When there is a balance of payments surplus, fed accumulates foreign currency and debits the balance of payments.
    • When there is a balance of payments deficit, fed depletes its reserves of foreign currency and credits the balance of payments.

Active v. passive official reserves

  • The U.S. is passive in its use of official reserves. It does not seek to manipulate the dollar exchange rate.
  • The People's Republic of China is active in its use of official reserves. It actively buys and sells dollars in order to maintain a steady exchange rate w/ the United States.

Formulas

  1. Balance of trade = Good exports + goods imports
  2. Balance on goods & services = Goods exports + service exports + goods imports + service imports.
  3. Current Account = Balance on goods and services + net investment + net transfer
  4. Capital account = Foreign purchases + domestic purchases.

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