Balance of Payments
The Balance of Payments
- Measures of money inflows and outflows between the united states and the rest of the world (ROW).
- Inflows = credits
- Outflows = debits
- The balance of payment is divided into three accounts:
- Current account
- Capital/financial account
- Official reserves account
Current account
- Balance of trade or Net exports
- Exports of goods/services- import of goods/services.
- Exports create a credit to the balance of payments.
- Imports create a debit to the balance of payments.
- Net foreign income
- Income earned by the U.S. owned foreign assets
- Interest payments on U.S. owned foreign assets- Interest payments on German-owned U.S treasury bonds.
- Net transfers (tend to be Unilateral)
- Foreign aid- a debit to the current account.
- Ex - Mexican migrant worker sends money to family.
Capital / Financial Account
- The balance of capital ownership.
- Includes the purchase of both real and financial assets
- Direct investment in the United States is a credit to the capital account.
- For example the Toyota company in San Antonio.
- Direct investment by United States firms/individuals in a foreign country are a debit to the capital account.
- Intel factory construction in Germany
- Purchase of foreign financial assets represents a Debit to the capital account.
- Warren buffets buys stock in Petrochina.
- Purchase of domestic financial assets by foreigners represents a credit to the capital account.
- The UAE sovereign wealth fund purchases a large stake in the NASDAQ.
Relationship between current and capital account
- Current account and capital account zero each other out.
- If current account has a negative balance (deficit) then capital account should have a positive balance (surplus).
Official reserves
- Foreign currency holdings of the U.S. fed.
- When there is a balance of payments surplus, fed accumulates foreign currency and debits the balance of payments.
- When there is a balance of payments deficit, fed depletes its reserves of foreign currency and credits the balance of payments.
Active v. passive official reserves
- The U.S. is passive in its use of official reserves. It does not seek to manipulate the dollar exchange rate.
- The People's Republic of China is active in its use of official reserves. It actively buys and sells dollars in order to maintain a steady exchange rate w/ the United States.
Formulas
- Balance of trade = Good exports + goods imports
- Balance on goods & services = Goods exports + service exports + goods imports + service imports.
- Current Account = Balance on goods and services + net investment + net transfer
- Capital account = Foreign purchases + domestic purchases.
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